Last update: Nov 2018
Karin van der Wiel
www.karinvanderwiel.nl | firstname.lastname@example.org | +31 (0)30 2206 783
Hi, I'm Karin.
I work as a postdoctoral research scientist at the Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute (KNMI).
My general research interests include atmospheric dynamics, atmosphere-ocean and atmosphere-land interactions, extreme events, and the impact of weather on society. Most of my research focuses on how internal climate variability and climate change might impact these topics.
With my research I hope to contribute to increasing our understanding of Earth’s weather and climate in a way that is useful for society.
Please be in contact with any questions, requests for PDFs of publications or anything else. Thank you for visiting!
Van Oldenborgh et al., 2017: Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017
Van der Wiel et al., 2017: Rapid attribution of the August 2016 flood-inducing extreme precipitation in south Louisiana to climate change.
→ See also the FAQs prepared for broad interest
Van der Wiel et al., 2016: The resolution dependence of contiguous U.S. precipitation extremes in response to CO2 forcing.
Extreme meteorological events are weather events that disproportionally affect public health and welfare. They do so because they are rare and/or extreme and therefore society may be less prepared for its impacts. In the case of precipitation there can be both very dry extremes (droughts) or very wet extremes (lots of rain). I study heavy rainfall, which can occur on a whole range of time scales and may be the result of various meteorological conditions. Depending on local land conditions and land-atmosphere interactions, these heavy rain conditions may lead to flooding and cause societal disruption.
I have investigated how precipitation and precipitation extremes are represented in various GFDL global climate models of different horizontal resolution. For these models we also looked into the simulated response of heavy precipitation to increased atmospheric CO2 concentrations.
For the heavy rainfall event in southern Louisiana of August 2016, that resulted in devastating flooding, I was part of a team of WWA-scientists who investigated the climatological statistics of this event. The results of our rapid attribution were reported by various media. A selection: EN: NOAA, New York Times, Washington Post, CNN, Associated Press, USA Today, The Guardian (1), The Guardian (2), TIME, Rolling Stone, climate.gov, WIRED, NationSwell, The Times Picayune, Inside Climate News, Climate Central, Science Museum of Virginia, NL: KNMI.
A similar attribution analysis was performed for the extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017 in Houston, TX, USA. These results were reported in, among others: EN: Washington Post, New York Times, The Guardian, Daily Mail, Associated Press, AGU, National Geographic, CarbonBrief, Popular Science, Delta, Futurity, NL: KNMI. At the 2017 AGU fall meeting I participated in a press conference discussing this paper: video.
University of Reading seminar
I will give a seminar in the University of Reading NCAS-climate science meeting.
Paper accepted for publication in Geophysical Research Letters.
A study in collaboration with Utrecht University, we show the importance and benefits of large ensembles for the investigation of hydrological extremes. Early online release here.
New KNMI climate message
I contributed a post to the climate message series on the KNMI webpage (in Dutch, read it here).
|xvi.||K van der Wiel, N Wanders, FM Selten, MFP Bierkens (2019): Added value of large ensemble simulations for assessing extreme river discharge in a 2 °C warmer world. Geophysical Research Letters, 46, pp. 2093-2102. |
|xv.||S Philip, S Sparrow, SF Kew, K van der Wiel, N Wanders, R Singh, A Hassan, K Mohammed, H Javid, K Haustein, FEL Otto, F Hirpa, RH Rimi, AKM Saiful Islam, DCH Wallom, and GJ van Oldenborgh (2019): Attributing the 2017 Bangladesh floods from meteorological and hydrological perspectives. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23, pp. 1409-1429. Highlighted article. |
|xiv.||K van der Wiel, SB Kapnick, GA Vecchi, JA Smith, PCD Milly, L Jia (2018): 100-year Lower Mississippi floods in a global climate model: characteristics and future changes. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 19, pp. 1547-1563. |
|xiii.||L Krishnamurthy, GA Vecchi, X Yang, K van der Wiel, V Balaji, SB Kapnick, L Jia, F Zeng, K Paffendorf, S Underwood (2018): Causes and probability of occurrence of extreme precipitation events like Chennai 2015. Journal of Climate, 31, pp. 3831–3848. |
|xii.||FEL Otto, K van der Wiel, GJ van Oldenborgh, S Philip, S Kew, P Uhe, H Cullen (2018): Climate change increases the probability of heavy rains in Northern England/Southern Scotland like those of storm Desmond - a real-time event attribution revisited. Environmental Research Letters, 13, pp. 024006. |
|xi.|| GJ van Oldenborgh, K van der Wiel, A Sebastian, R Singh, J Arrighi, FEL Otto, K Haustein, S Li, GA Vecchi, H Cullen (2017): Attribution of extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey, August 2017. Environmental Research Letters, 12, pp. 124009. Featured article. |
|x.||K van der Wiel, ST Gille, SG Llewellyn Smith, PF Linden, C Cenedese (2017): Characteristics of colliding sea breeze gravity current fronts: a laboratory study. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 143, pp. 1434-1441. |
|ix.||K van der Wiel, SB Kapnick, GJ van Oldenborgh, K Whan, S Philip, GA Vecchi, RK Singh, J Arrighi, H Cullen (2017): Rapid attribution of the August 2016 flood-inducing extreme precipitation in south Louisiana to climate change. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 21, pp. 897-921. Highlighted article. |
|viii.||K van der Wiel, SB Kapnick, GA Vecchi (2017): Shifting patterns of mild weather in response to projected radiative forcing. Climatic Change, 140, pp. 649-658. |
|vii.||K van der Wiel, SB Kapnick, GA Vecchi, WF Cooke, TL Delworth, L Jia, H Murakami, S Underwood, F Zeng (2016): The resolution dependence of contiguous U.S. precipitation extremes in response to CO2 forcing. Journal of Climate, 29, pp. 7991-8012. |
|vi.||MA Stiller-Reeve, C Heuzé, WT Ball, RH White, G Messori, K van der Wiel, I Medhaug, AH Eckes, A O'Callaghan, MJ Newland, SR Williams, M Kasoar, HE Wittmeier and V Kumer (2016): Improving together: better science writing through peer learning. Hydrology and Earth System Science, 20, pp. 2965-2973. |
|v.||K van der Wiel, AJ Matthews, MM Joshi, DP Stevens (2016): The influence of diabatic heating in the South Pacific Convergence Zone on Rossby wave propagation and the mean flow. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142, pp. 901-910. |
|iv.||K van der Wiel, AJ Matthews, MM Joshi, DP Stevens (2016): Why the South Pacific Convergence Zone is diagonal. Climate Dynamics, 46, pp. 1683-1698. |
|iii.||K van der Wiel, AJ Matthews, DP Stevens, MM Joshi (2015): A dynamical framework for the origin of the diagonal South Pacific and South Atlantic Convergence Zones. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141, pp. 1997-2010. Featured article. |
|ii.||MM Joshi, M Stringer, K van der Wiel, A O'Callaghan, S Fueglistaler (2015): IGCM4: A fast, parallel and flexible intermediate climate model. Geoscientific Model Development, 8, pp. 1157-1167. |
|i.||W Hazeleger, X Wang, C Severijns, S Ştefănescu, R Bintanja, A Sterl, K Wyser, T Semmler, S Yang, B van den Hurk, T van Noije, E van der Linden, K van der Wiel (2012): EC-Earth V2.2: description and validation of a new seamless earth system prediction model. Climate Dynamics, 39, pp. 2611-2629. |
A pdf-version of my C.V. is available here.